Xinhua net Beijing on July 21 report (reporter king Yue Wei) accompanying Chinese economy " half annals " give heat, decision-making layer " should let economy move in reasonable interval " state see often all at signing up for end. "On, floor level " havingwatch case opener what kind of deep idea to Chinese economy, transition period is new a government grows " bottom line " , how to understand the determination of central steady growth? Answer this a series of problems, job of macroscopical to leaving one stage adjusting control is crucial.
On July 15, national statistic bureau released data of main first half of the year macroscopical economy, although economy is added fast larghetto, but a series of data show, current Chinese economy still lies in the passageway that moves smoothly. The economic situation that Premier Li Kejiang held on July 16 expresses on expert and company controller infothe best selling modern dining chairsrmal discussion, look from domestic and international practice, economy moves appear to fluctuate certainly, have objective inethe most popular watch casesvitability. The main purpose of macroscopical adjusting control should avoid economy is old cases to fall greatly namely, make economy moves maintain in reasonable interval. Its " floor level " it is steady growth, maintain obtain employment, "Upper limit " be on guard namely inflation.
In fact, place of Premier Li Kejiang puts forward " upper limit " and " floor level " , basically expect an end what reiterated the economic society that puts forward in governmental working report this year develops: Gross domestic product grows 7.5% to control, dweller consumption price rises 3.5% the left and right sides. So, why should run the economy this year next demarcate to grow 7.5 to control in GDP?
Undeniable, the economy of 7.5% is added fast be in recent years of Chinese economy inferior add fast, with 2007 the 2nd quarter of 11.9% add fast photograph to compare, really difference is very big. However, considering in recent years the body of Chinese economy is measured already very big, with 5 years before, the photograph 10 years ago is compared, every grow GDP now the amount of a percent is large different. Current, the potential increase rate of Chinese economy drops already was objective law, add fast putting delay also is Chinese government actually " intended " policy choice, decision-making layer knows very well, cast off only " only GDP is talked " psychological chains, exert oneself moves reform of structure, hurried, ability drives Chinese economy to be on the road that transition upgrades.
"norton internet antivirusThe economy of 7.5 is added fast put in period of history of any country, any, it is a very beautiful economy data. " national development and Zhang Yan of secretary-general of committee of reform committee learning are born when accepting media to interview to express, if China continues original high speed develops way, that will be growth of a kind of limit, paid price is compared necessarily big, so, those who want is far, be about now slow come down.
Economy is added fast in the process that puts delay, the biggest test comes from obtain employment. Calculate according to authoritative branch, our country shows level to want to maintain obtain employment, make town investigates unemployment rate control to be in 5% the left and right sides, economy is added fast cannot under 7.2% . Accordingly, maintain of 7.5% add fast, actually namely for " maintain obtain employment " . Henceforth, as economic structural adjustment, serve the development of course of study especially, the obtain employment of our country inducts ability escalate, although economy is added fast again a few lower, of obtain employment " bottom " also be to have those who assure.
So, is economy sound of growth " floor level " " bottom line " ? Look in Zhang Monan of vice director of lab of economy of world of national information center, "Floor level is talked " it is actually a kind " bottom line thinking " —— is patient to economic be issued to lower levels degree rise, but cannot under potential increase rate, active attune structure but cannot endanger economic stability.
Basis " 925 " the target that the program raises, "925 " during Chinese economy year all add fast end for 7% . Should ensure built comparatively well-off society in the round 2020, implementation GDP translates goal than 2010, a few years economic annual growth rate will achieve 6.9% above at least henceforth. So, to Chinese economy, add fast under this 7% " bottom line " it is unallowed.
Will prevent inflationary setting to be economy of reasonable interval " upper limit " , also show decision-making layer to take seriously to the height of price issuethe best selling watch cases fully. Since international banking crisis erupts, main developed country was carried out transcend loose monetary policy, flush fluidity is pushed not only tall heavy goods price, also input sexual risk to the prices situation generation of our country. Below this kind of setting, prevent inflation, become the main target of our country macroscopical adjusting control. This year first half of the year, our country CPI rises only compared to the same period 2.4% , far the target of of 3.5% year adjusting control that makes under the beginning of the year. Show current inflation pressure lesser, also created certain vacuum for in the future macroscopical adjusting control.
Many accept the economist that interview to express, the demand that predicts the prices inside year rises carries pressure lesser, prices of second half of the year moves will still overall and smooth.
In fact, decision-making layer " let economy move in reasonable interval " policy intent, it is the main task that develops to achieve annual economy society not only lay next solid foundations, also be to be Chinese economy to better transition upgrades and advance each reform to create a condition. Plum of no less than overcomes character of place of powerful prime minister, "Steady growth can create effective space and condition to move a structure, tone structure can add reserve strength for economic progress, both supplement each other; And do away with system mechanism obstacle through refspring poolorm, can be the power with steady growth and tone structure new infuse. Can be the power withfree norton internet antharrison hot spring dealivirus steady growth and tone structuremodern dining chairs new infuse..
"Say strictly, ' interval effect ' should not make a person accident, it should remind the market to understand and hold to policy more cannot become rigid and misinterpret " , chief economist makes the same score traffic bank repeatedly think, look from real operation, "Interval " , " upper limit " and " floor level " what what emphasize is more a kind " firm in promising " policy orientaton. If break through a bottom line, chinese government won't sit by and watch is paid no attention to; Did not break through a bottom line, be about to clutch reform of tone structure, hurried. In the backside of this kind of judgement, be a kind already interest is current the economy with long-term interest is logistic.
Really, with " watch caseseconomy runs reasonable interval " suit, it is to should form framework of reasonable policy of macroscopical adjusting control, take the different case of situation in the light of economy, the reform of tone structure, hurried and steady growth, policy that maintain obtain employment or controls inflation, windbreak a place difficult of access organic union rises,brass faucet aerator adopted step, already steady growth moves a structure again, already interest is current interest is long-term, what shun economy thereby is big fall greatly.
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