Structure of steady growth, attune, hurried is reformed " also cannot little " , rely on short-term and stimulative step to pull no longer move GDP growth
Li Kejiang talks about economic situation: Steady growth emphasizes particularly on when approaching lower limit
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Li Kejiang talks about economic situation: Steady growth emphasizes particularly on when approaching lower limit
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Li Kejiang is chaired hold economic situation informal discussion
Li Kejiang is chaired hold economic situation informal discussion
Li Kejiang is chaired hold economic situation informal discussion
Xinhua net Beijing report signed up for a report according tovancouver to harrison hot springs new capital on July 24, recently, li Kejiang of premier of the State Council is chaired early or late hold a part to visit an area economic situation informal discussion, with informal discussion of controller of company of economic situation expert, undertake consider and be analyticed to current economic situation.
Li Kejiang expresses on the conference, at present our country economy moves to lie smoothly reasonable interval, interval " upper limit " it is to prevent inflation, "Floor level " it is steady growth, maintain obtain employment. He puts forward, in at present economy moves approach reasonable interval " floor level " below the circumstance, want to consider reform of structure of steady growth, attune, hurried as a whole, make 3 person accomplish promote each other. Assumed office in March from this year up to now, li Kejiang and new a government with a series of " assorted fist " , drive economy through multinomial policy firm in have into, firm in promising, firm in carry qualitative, show decision-making layer to be pulled with short-term and stimulative step no longer move GDP growth, insist to reform stimulative economy structural adjustment however, make Chinese economy upgrade the determination of edition.
[feel pulse]
Economy still is in reasonable interval
Economy grows 7% is a bottom line; Inflation is led 3.5% it is upper limit
Chinese economy is added fast this year reemerge first quarter the posture that put delay. The data that statistical bureau published a few days ago shows, actual GDP gains 2 quarters compared to the same period this year fast for 7.5% , already fell to decision-making layer the economy of set of place of the beginning of the year is added this year fast fixed target.
To this, li Kejiang expresses, on the whole our country economy moves to lie smoothly reasonable interval, of this one interval " floor level " and " upper limit " it is conference of central economy job respectively the main task that affirmatory annual economy society develops, namely annual GDP grows 7.5% , CPI control is in 3.5% .
That is to say, economy moves this year " floor level " it is steady growth, maintain obtain employment; "Upper limit " be on guard namely inflation.
Why will " reasonable interval " is the best selling watch casesfluctuation limit in such limits? Li Kejiang says, steady growth should maintain obtain employment namely actually. Calculate according to authoritative branch, our country shows level to want to maintain obtain employment, make town investigates unemployment rate control to be in 5% the left and right sides, economy is added fast cannot under 7.2% .
The global banking crisis that four quarters erupted 2008 ever caused a large number of our country farmers to be versed in unemployment returns country for a time. When GDP of season our country compared to the same period amplitude considerably fall after a rise comes 6.8% , bring about annual economy to grow fall after a rise to come the nadir since 2002.
The data that publishs according to person company department and national statistic bureau shows, 2009 before the Spring Festival, worker worker of 70 million peasant returns country, occupy about go out 50% of gross of peasant worker worker; After the Spring Festival, in worker worker of these the peasant that return country, 11 million person still is in seek working status.
Li Kejiang says, afore-mentioned circumstances are passivity " pressure checks " , slip when GDP 7% the following when, obtain employment appeared really problem. Economic growth is 7% " bottom line " , want to achieve the goal that GDP translated one time than 2010 2020, henceforth a few years of economy year all add fast should achieve 6.9% above at least. Drop so broken of 7% " bottom line " it is unallowed.
And lead inflation 3.5% set those who be reasonable interval " upper limit " , also show the decision-making layer care to price issue. Li Kejiang expresses, as the development of economic globalization and fictitious economy, in recent years main developed country is carried out again transcend loose monetary policy, its influence can conduct our country, precautionary inflation more appear very important.
Our country CPI all is worth first half of the year this year 2.4% , far under " upper limit " 3.5% . Report of research center of traffic bank banking predicts, second half of the year will still continue the macroscopical economy environment of weak force makes the possibility that domestic prices rises considerably inferior, this also is next macroscopical adjusting control created a vacuum. watch case
[leadoff: Steady growth]
Steady growth does not rely on short-term stimulation
Without steady growth, tone structure does not have foundation and condition
Li Kejiang expresses, because at present our country economy moves,did not negotiate set " floor level " , do not have more touch " bottom line " , so the key of current policy or tone structure, hurried is reformed, drive transition to upgrade. But the premise that moves a structure is to want steady growth, without steady growth, tone structure does not have a foundation, without the condition, without reasonable space.
With the support when 2009 a large number of credit put in those who pull the policy train of thought that moves economic growth to differ is, face pressure of be issued to lower levels, li Kejiang puts forward, "Steady growth " cannot rely on a government short-term stimulation, still want more play to move structure, hurried to reform the stimulative action of pair of steady growth, cannot last not only otherwise, still can leave sequela.
To answer international banking crisis, our country government stimulates policy from the economy that end implemented a series of stimulative economy to develop more quickly smoothly in the round 2008, include one billion three hundred and eighty-five million four hundred and forty-seven thousand four hundred and twenty-four investment to pull move inside require a plan. In the government dominant invests and day volume credit is pulled excitingly move below, our country takes the lead in walking out of crisis haze, economy anabiosises quickly, but also appeared to include to produce can superfluous, investment efficiency is low wait for a series of problems. These structural sex problems puzzle the crux of the problem that at present economy develops our country just about.
Economy of national information center forecasts department head Fan Jianping to express, at present the economic situation of our country is mixed 2009 when different, because this is decision-making,the layer adopts different policy to come " steady growth " .
Fan Jianping expresses, economy of the China when 2009 glides quickly from perch, it is to be in a kind " crisis condition " , below in that way setting, publish large-scale exciting policy to have its necessity. Although will in executive process have the state that occurrence stimulation overdoes next, but the intention that cannot deny these policy to move economy to pick up quickly to pulling.
He expresses: "Did not appear at present ' the crisis ' , should the heart is not had by look for puts reform of tone structure, hurried in policy on dot of the greatest put forth effort.
So, second half of the year " steady growth " what will measure have? Chief economist Lian Ping represents traffic bank, go out to make sure the index such as annual economy increase rate and obtain employment does not slip " floor level " , the government will continued to roll out moderate economy to stimulate policy. In exit, consumption and investment " 3 drive carriage " in, have policy space at present, and the domain that needs stimulation most still is investment. Nevertheless, the investment this year stimulates policy to will not repeat the old road that takes when 2009, and examine and approve in the project, credit condition respect is adjusted somewhat.
Lian Ping expresses, the government will have specific aim n to hold rationality to invest demand this year, besides the tradition " iron is fair base " , the likelihood still has the project such as the sources of energy, shipping, and " credit will keep reasonable and measurable comfortable, but for windbreak danger, also too won't comfortable " .
[the 2nd fist: Tone structure]
Major key of investment way way is whole
Deliver fund won't form produce can superfluous field
Li Kejiang puts forward clearly in the speech, the direction of investment, means, mechanism will appear to be adjusted apparently.
He says in the citing on the meeting, railroad investment is not to do not have financing source, want to reform railroad to join financing system only, finance gives pay interest in the form of a deduction when selling a bill of exchange to make sure interest of deposit of railroad investment income ratio is 9 bit higher appropriately, can attract social capital investment in great quantities. He says, "The key is to should have held to cast to, investment main body wants diversity, investment mechanism also should be reformed, should innovate " .
In credit policy respect, before decision-making layer also changed this " steady growth " the project is accelerated commonly usedly to examine and approve in measure, the way that mends credit to put in, according to have retain pressure, have help up have the principle that accuse, increase pair of advanced manufacturing industry, strategical burgeoning industry, labor is concentrated model industhe best selling modern dining chairstry and service line of business, traditional industry is transformed upgrade, and " 3 farming " the credit support of He Xiaowei enterprise, and can superfluous tofree norton internet antivirus producing industry, the requirement is strict accuse to add credit newly to put in.
Li Kejiang says, the infrastructure side that delivers fund in a few weakness won't be caused repeat investment, won't form produce can superfluous, and be helpful for adjusting a structure, if railroad and subterranean canal net, sewage disposal, rubbish burns,wait for establishment of energy-saving environmental protection.
And to industry of smooth hot season, li Kejiang is in appear personally personally mediate our country and conflict of product of European Union smooth hot season, adopted include to perfect Guang Fufa policy of electric electrovalency support, encourage financial orgnaization to adopt measure to alleviate while smooth hot season makes a series of sides such as industry financing difficulty support measure, also encourage an enterprise to hold concurrently and recombine, do actor strong, restrain produce can blind dilate.
In the meantime, li Kejiang still emphasized serving course of study and innovation to urge a side " tone structure " importance.
He expresses, our country served course of study to differ 10 percent above with level of coequal developing country, say to produce now can superfluous the overcapacity that is a few products actually, and the service is to furnish to be not worth badly. "Development of service line of business still has many policy to restrict now, can adjust stage by stage unlock " .
Before this, the government encourages civilian capital to enter the service industry such as sanitation of telecommunication of finance, appreciation, medical treatment all the time; Be in the 5th round when held a few days ago on Sino-US strategy and economic dialog, still just express in, company of greeting United States comes China investment, will implement more active and active open strategy, those who enlarge each domain to serve industry especially is open.
In innovation drive respect, li Kejiang speaks of, the enterprise of organic tool industry has a breakthrough in hydraulic pressure respect, alleviated the bottleneck of machine of our country project is restricted, this drives the example that economy grows through innovating namely.
He puts forward, the government still needs to fall to be driven energetically, start new construction for main body with the enterprise, clutch the target that establishs to measure science and technology to innovate, increase can measure a gender, maneuverability.
[the 3rd fist: Hurried is reformed]
Straighten element to configure means
Reduce unnecessary administrative intervention
New since a government assumes office, will " reform " put in Chongzhongzhi to weigh.
"No matter be steady growth, still move a structure, want to rely on reforming and opening. " Li Kejiang says, this is why current government from leave since the bureau from change function proceed with, stimulative reform.
Since this year, with " brief politics put power " what nod to be cut is new reform of round of system is advanced in order, body is revealed new the reform determination of a government and confidence. This year the whole nationTwo meetingsDuring, the government puts forward clearly, inside current government tenure of office, the administration that branch of the State Council carries out examines and approve item to want to reduce 1/3 above. On April 24, the State Council cancels 71 administration the first batch to examine and approve item; On May 6, 61 administration examine and approve reassume disappear and transfer to a lower level item; On June 19, the 3spring poolrd batch cancels and 32 administration examine and approve transfer to a lower level item. On July 22, the 4th batch cancels and transfer to a lower level 50 administration examine and approve item.
"So I say be an armchair strategist serves as discontinue, cannot what job runnings to Beijing to approve, approved also be in charge of bad. Still should be in brief politics put power while, enhance a responsibility medium, after the event is superintended, put authority to be able to stimulate market vigor, bring more social capital into play to produce the effect of steady growth thereby. " Li Kejiang says in the speech.
He earlies childhood, want to pass reform to rise the capital activation of precipitation, should consider to publish the policy measure that enterprise annex recombines, promote those who produce can superfluous industry to digest, catch good run to change add innovation pilot, drive development of service line of business to wait.
Data shows, the run that began to start on January 1 last year changes add pilot had obtained result. According to xinhua net the report says, begin pilot 12 provinces city to more than 1 million enterprises already were brought into at present " battalion changes add " pilot, decrease duty to exceed 40 billion yuan directly for taxpayer. Will rise on August 1 this year, traffic carrying trade and part are contemporary service line of business " battalion changes add " pilot still carry out promotion to countrywide limits, predicting annual will reduce tax for taxpayer watch casesdirectly 120 billion yuan.
In addition, the policy measure that structural adjustment of financial support economy and transition upgrade also spreads out in ground of in an orderly way, afterwards put forward in June " with good increment, dish put an amount alive " , it is important that the Central Bank strode an interest rate to commercialize a few days ago one pace, unlock control of loan interest rate. Although each bank is current still " not throw the troops into battle " , all did not adjust the loan interest rate that announces external, but the analysis thinks generally, unlocking control of loan interest rate is make preparation to unlock upper limit of saving interest rate stage by stage next.
To afore-mentioned reform measure, fan Jianping expresses, the essential jumping-off place of reform, want to straighten the means that element configures namely. No matter be brief politics put power, still be interest rate commercializes reform, it is to make the force that the market deploys all sorts of element bigger, reduce unnecessary administrative intervention. He predicts to be in second half of the year, the government still will be in a few otherer the formation of element continues to push reform measure on the mechanism, include the field such as product of sex of land, resource and labour force.
[the 4th fist: Town is changed]
Town is changed should be core with the person
The key depends on letting common people become the biggest person that be benefited
Besides the reform measure of administration and economic domain, "Town is changed " the working key that also is current government. Transform mode to differ with the convention that proposes a building to build a wall before, "New-style town is changed " emphasize be core with the person, implementation arrives from agriculture blame agriculture, arrive from the country town, from the farmer changeover to the citizen.
Data statistic shows, up to 2012, our countrwatch case manufacturery town is changed rate 52.75%harrison hot spring public pool , but it is only by computation of census register population 35% the left and right sides, under the world the average level of 52% , with the developed country 70% right-and-left levels have apparent difference more.
"It is the biggest that town is changed inside need latent capacity. " Li Kejiang puts forward, want a town to change the important grasper that reforms as structure of steady growth, attune, hurried, develop its to accelerate investment and the main effect that consume growth.
Long-term since, census register system is considered as to restrict town to change the bottleneck of development. Li Kejiang mentioned the problem of registered permanent residence that the farmer is versed in on this informal discussion. He says: "Because peasant worker worker cannot fall door dare not buy a house, dare not buy big durable consumer goods, once solved problem of their registered permanent residence, consumption can be stimulated rise. Consumption can be stimulated rise..
On June 26, " the report that the State Council turns construction work case about town " in put forward census register system clearly already to reform way: Unlock a wide place in the road and limitation of small town settle in the round, unlock medium city settle to restrict in order, put condition of wide city settle stage by stage, reasonable set is especially big urban settle condition, turn the agricultural move population that accords with a condition stmodern dining chairsage by stage for town dweller.
In the center of this year " a file " in also the best selling north face shirtsput forward with respect to system of rural collective property right, the land that ensures a farmer lawfully contracts right of administration, curtilage base access, collective accrual distributes right.
In addition, a few town that improve townsman surroundings change measure to already came on stage. On July 12, print and distribute of the State Council " the opinion that transforms the job about accelerating shanty town " , rise clearly 5 years today inside countrywide shanty town transforms a target: Transform the of all kinds shanty town such as urban shanty town, factory shanty town 10 million.
These measure in lucky spic card Shen Jianguang of 劵 Asia chief economist looks, decision-making layer already released a lot of and positive signal, show new-style town changes the strategy to will release more latent capacity. He thinks, in census register only reform, land is on the move basic and reform of system of policy, finance, public service reforms reform of this 4 big focal points to go up to be broken through somewhat, ability and before town changes process area to come apart, body reveals new idea.
Fan Jianping also expresses, come true to be changed with the town of factitious core, the key depends on letting common people, farmer become the biggest person that be benefited. Before town is changed appeared in the process " impress forced releasing " , change in new-style town this kind of circumstance should be put an end to in the process through system, standard. "In that way ' town is changed ' the effect that can have to create contradiction only, brought short-term GDP growth would rather not want " , he says, "Before the system is definite, would rather a bit slower, a bit firmer. A bit firmer..
"The essential jumping-off place of reform, want to straighten the means that element configures namely. No matter be brief politics put power, still be interest rate commercializes reform, it is to make the force that the market deploys all sorts of element bigger, reduce unnecessary administrative intervention. " (reporter Shen Wei is green)
Economy of center of —— state information forecasts department head Fan Jianping
"In census register only reform, land is on the move basic and reform of system of policy, finance, public service reforms reform of this 4 big focal points to go up to be broken through somewhat, ability and before town changes process area to come apart, body reveals new idea. Current and decision-making layer already afore-mentioned when to release a lot of and positive signal, show new-style town changes the strategy to will release more latent capacity. Show new-style town changes the strategy to will release more latent capacity..
Shenyang of 劵 Asia chief economist establishs evidence of —— luck spic smooth
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