Hair change appoint official: Price of house of town of line of just a little won't die dish will still rise
0'48''
7
East is broadband
Hair change appoint official: Price of house of town of line of just a little won't die dish will still rise
Pack up- brass faucet
Hair change appoint official: Won't help Shang De electric power
Hair change appoint official: Allow local government to deliver municipal performance
Hair change appoint the official divulges future of settle of a wide place in the road sets social security fixed number of year no longer
Current, the topic that changes about town warms up increasingly. New a government turns town as pull move inside the engine that need and drives economic growth. Official, scholar, entrepreneur changes the point of view that expresses his with respect to town in succession, hair of its China home changes appoint city and the notion that reform of a wide place in the road develops central director Li Tie deserve bring to sb's attention, he changes involved scientific question analysis to hit the mark to town. He thinks to advance town to change process key to depend on reform, break block up to realize the hedge that the person's town changes.
The person carry out that turns reform as a town and the person that drive actively, li Tie is in nearly 20 years of time that are engaged in town changing policy to study the work, participated in for many times in the center of, the State Council is drafted about what town turns policy document and make, and the practice that participated in guidance to reform pilot job personally. The city that he is in recently and center of development of reform of a wide place in the road are rolled out again " town is changed change with the society a series of books " , build up the research positive result that town turns reform into book. Recently, li Tie was accepted " economic reference signs up for " of the reporter interview.
The citizen that the focal point that new-style town turns is agricultural move population is changed
" economic reference signs up for " : 18 big reports put forward, should drive " industrialization and town are changed benign and interactive, town is changed and agricultural modernization is coordinated each other " . Conference of central economy job puts forward exert oneself to raise town to change quality further, should walk along intensive, intelligence, green, mild new-style town changes way. Is new-style town changed accumulate content of what kind of strategy containing? What appearance is the new-style town in your memory changes view?
Li Tie: The new-style town that how puts forwarspring poold in the center of understanding changes way, each understanding is not at present enough still clear: A few places hope to take the opportunity on more projects; A few scholars put forward the town of high quality to change civilized concept and corresponding quota system; Entrepreneur hopes to find new investment heat; Although some people realise " it is with thethe best spring pool person this " essence, but multifarious still on the design of policy operation level, did not touch essence. Understand with respect to my individual, the new-style town that puts forward in the center of changes policy, core content involves the following two respects: The town that is a person turns an issue, how to swatch case manufacturerolve a farmer to go into town namely the issue of basic and public service after obtain employment; The 2 development mode that are town and method, can last what how achieve town progress namely, zoology, low carbon and green.
2012, the town of our country is changed rate amount to 52.6% , and change by town of calculative of population of town census register rate only 35.3% , there is 17.3 between the difference of percent. 100 million farmers of this specification 2.5 are versed in the hobo between 75 million town is in peace treaty the city has not been enjoyed as equal as dweller of town census register public weal. If according to annual the growth rate of a percent, to 2020, our country town changes rate general to achieve 60% , the town population that means our country will achieve left and right sides of 800 million person. The peasant worker worker that go into town will increase again on existing foundation be close to 100 million person. If be solved not in time,their public service is mixed go into town settle is resident problem, the quality that our country town changes will not get fundamental improvement, the of all kinds society that returns meeting aggravate future to may appear instead is contradictory.
Alleged and new-style town is changed, should realize town to change namely from the amount change that increases quality promotion, after wanting to solve peasant worker worker to go into town that is to say, public service is changed equably and the question with resident difficult settle. The working emphasis that this also means current town to change is how to realize the person's town to change, how to undertake census register management adamantinely the system is reformed and perfect agriculture to change the course that population citizen changes stage by stage.
House price change and town are changed reach urban grade is relevant
" economic reference signs up for " : One of ends that new-style town changes future should solve a farmer to be versed in namely resident settle, this brought capacious opportunity for real estate development. But, current, house price house of China does not fall high. According to statistic of national statistic bureau, in June 2013, the whole nation 70 big in there is price of 65 towns house to appear in the city annulus comparing rises. Can say to if house prithe most popular norton internet antivirusce already became Chinese common people to pay close attention to most, be inscribed, any nerve that change with estate value concerned message can affect common people, you think, what is causing the cause that Chinese house price rises ceaselessly?
Li Tie: We cannot the house price of general judgement China rises, the room price that Chinese what area should analyse above all is rising? Why can you rise? Why does estate make an industry that special attention, various local government is in everybody to be driven with all one's strength?
A lot of research are urban cent city of a gleam of, second line city, 3, 4 lines city, this explained Chinese estate develops directly, the town management system that house price rises to be changed with grade has immediate concern. Above all, tall house price basically watch casesis centered in advanced course city, especially municipality directly under the Central Government, provincial town and deputy provincial town. Urban resource allocation is lopsided, to highest grade from lowermost grade city the city is centered, high grade resource centers the city with higher order and degree more, administrative resource distributings affected market resource to distributing. The house is bought in the city of advanced course, also basically be to purchase the high grade resource over there and high grade and public service. And what the supply of set limit to of land brings about these urban natural resources is rare be short of, natural resources of land of area of core of advanced course city is rare forever those who be short of, land natural resources is scarce be short of what can cause the house price of these a sector of an area for certain to rise.
Next, compare wait for a domain at finance, bank deposit, negotiable securities, fund, estate is the investment demand that stabilizes relatively at present. The rare decision is short of a gender of land natural resources the raise on its price.
The 3rd, economic growth brings social income group to split up, the good-paying herd cardinal number that is based on population gross is large, form price of tall to advanced course city house prop up. If good-paying population is occupied 10% countrywide, we can have what population of 136 million good-paying forms buccal high endthe best selling watch cases to buy a group, have the demand of endurance to real estate of high end, high administrative levels. They buy a house in this locality a little while, the 2nd meeting buys a house to provincial capital city, buy a house to Beijing, Shanghai next. Good-paying population arrives order and degree is high, core resource is good, high grade resource buys housing relative to centralized city, it is best that this is in instantly China, the most logical choice.
" economic reference signs up for " : Go to prospective house price situation do you have why to judge?
Li Tie: I think, besides seeing housing supply size, still need to consider factor of the following respects:
Above all, radiation limits of the city. Urban order and degree is higher, radiation range is wider, beijing radiate whole nation, provincial capital city basically is radiation complete province. The resource shortage of city of tall administration social estate is normal, and cannot second birth. Census register system brought about the pattern with public enclosed service to be broken hard, below this kind of circumstance, of resource shortage, public service close, also promote price of house of advanced course town to rise further.
Next, the city is in the per capita level of the area. Wait to develop littoral like Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu area, although urban radiation limits is inferior to the city of northwest area, but per capita level is high, the house price that also supports this area rises extent is more than center-west region.
Finally, the city below system of gold of land sell one's own things develops pattern. Various local government eagerly open up industrial district, depress land price, be out of pocket carries capital attraction, form industrial industry, will prop up governmental G D P and finance income. The gold of land sell one's own things that this cost wants to carry estate development, high specified number undertakes redeeming. Every government should have new achievement in one's post now, result city the structure of an organization is larger and larger, the cost of infrastructure, supply raises substantially. Governmental revenue can protect finance only, protect have a meal, so these cost can rely on financing only, sell the means such as the ground to repay, aharrison hot spring dealnd the gold of land sell one's own things that financing returns so that rely on future repays. This formed this kind of vicious circle, bring about new developed area, new now city to expand ceaselessly.
Judge integratedly, in the city of high order and degree of a gleam of, second line, natural resources is scarce be short of a gender to still exist, house price still has the space that rise, part 3 lines city and 4 lines city, county develops estate according to such mode again, be afraid it is certain to arrive in dilate degree when can cause collapse dish.
Somebody thinks, chinese estate can appear like Euramerican, Japan's euqally same bubble, cannot undertake analogy simply actually. These national cities are changed rate is already saturated, and China just just passes half, town of census register population changes the 35.3% that lead ability. Because this still hasthe most popular selling norton internet antivirus very large space to the demand of town housing, start inside need to also be concerned with this. Analyse Chinese bubble, cause of formation is different, the outcome is different also, may bring local in the collapse of city of small town building dish, but won't die not only in advanced course city dish, still can rise.
Solve house price to reside no less than high needing that reform
" economic reference signs up for " : The house price block up of tall look forward to the pace that the farmer is versed in the citizen is changed, go against advance town to change, peasant worker worker enters come, but cannot settle in town, and resided the house price that does not leave high to also bring very big hidden trouble to the development of Chinese economy, a lot of places appeared all sorts of so called " ghost town " , do you think to want to solve tall house price to need what to step take?
Li Tie: The focal point that new-style town turns realizes agriculture to transfer the citizen of population to change namely. The problem that wants to solve house price house not to fall high comes true through reforming ability only.
The first, esteem market rule, do not let rare the resource that lack is in by demarcate inferior value, create serious waste, of price of stimulative commodity house commercialize. Cancel to be restricted to buy policy, agree with the market rule that house price rises, the government adopts the measurebrass faucet such as taxation, take out more resource to solve the problem of public service.
The 2nd, raise the city zone rare lack land resource use efficiency. Present 2, 3 lines city, a few cities him put through city of so called zoology, green city, booth flat bread, formed the serious dilate of land, do about a hundred meters wide big street, thousands of mus big square, kilometer of a few square even the zoology park of ten square kilometer, some urban areas are not large, population is not much also, have ten people, two people only, do not have so big demand at all, create the serious waste of land natural resources so.
The 3rd, reasonable configuration space is communal resource. It is the law that passes the market, perhaps pass administrative guiding, make a few high grade resource to in small town distributings equably relatively, reasonable and scattered population, of price of house of keep within limits rise trend. 2 it is change transportation situation, in original highway cobrass faucet aerator nnection small town, want to build light course now, be in relatively far place, in increasing low income person the supply that buys a house.
The 4th, increase the strength that rents a house. The obtain employment of going from place to place of population and live, in country of any market economy it is normal, cannot adopt so called reform, go the welfare of aggrandizement safeguard room furnishs, the normal that will flow this kind, adopt traditional system, hitting the banner solidify of reform. In the policy that buy and hires the choice falls, hire a room to have broader market. 100 million farmers of countrywide 2.6 are versed in and hobo of 70 million town, great majority population lives in town with hiring the pattern of the room. We have more choices in the process that hire, can guide civilian capital, undertake reform on collective land even, use put a quantity to be built with the ground communal the room that rent. The government strengthens the construction of form a complete set of establishment, perfect the system that rent a house. Stable living condition was not involved buy a house or rent a house, if hire, also can make stable living requirement, hire the supply of the market of the room, market that rent, also can be real estate open up a vast space.
Anyhow, drive new-style town to change need to push reform of census register system, release population bonus; Hold to collective land reform, release the low cost bonus of collective land; Advance town grade to manage a system to reform further, stimulative city develops the equality allocation of resource, the vigor of small town in releasing, the development platform with be offerred the economy that is China, better for estate company.
No comments:
Post a Comment