30 province of countrywide announce GDP to add fast all 7.6% levels of prep above whole nation

Up to on July 27, outside dividing Qinghai, the whole nation had 30 province to announce computation of economic interconnected system is occupied first half of the year. Increasing ratio of most province GDP the corresponding period glided last year, but still the level of 7.6 ％ of whole nation of all prep above. Through " half annals " can see, in the crucial period that transition of our country economy upgrades, local economy growth is facing enormous pressure. The personage inside course of study thinks, should not be currently publish exceeding to stimulate policy, but want the monetary finance policy with firm continuance, hold the significancharrison hot spring weather forecaste of good attune structure and steady growth, carry out to macroscopical economy " small stimulation " .

Data analysis

Economy is added fast put delay generally

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In these 30 province, GDP body amount is the largest first half of the year remain Guangdong province, it is two thousand eight hundred and forty-six billion five hundred and ninety-two million ythe most popular watch casesuan; Row the 2nd parting with tertiary is Jiangsu province and Shandong province, mix two thousand five hundred and ninety-five billion eight hundred and twenty million yuan for two thousand seven hundred and sixty billion four hundred million yuan respectively. The GDP of these 3 province all is in 2 trillion yuan of above, 1/3 what 3 provinces the sum occupies countrywide gross.

Data shows, the platoon is in end Tibetan GDP is thirty-two billion nine hundred and fifty-nine million yuan, qinghai is saved GDP was seventy-nine billion seven hundred and fifty-nine millionthe most popular norton internet antivirus yuan first half of the year last year, predict to will continue to rank penult this year.

With countrywide economic situation is consistent first half of the year this year, although most province is overall smooth, but add fast annulus to put delay state than all be being shown. According to not complete count, with compare first quarter, have 6 province GDP is added first half of the year fast keep balance, 10 province increase fast fall after a rise, add fast the only Ningxia that pick up, pick up 0.4 percent. Each province GDP is added compared to the same period fast drop more apparent also.

Error reason

Statistical means differs somewhat

The economy of 30 province is added fast all the level of 7.6 ％ of prep above whole nation. What amplitude ranks head of a list of names posted up is Tianjin city, total output value amounts to six hundred and fifharrison hot spring public poolty-seven billion nine hundred and one million yuan, grow 12.5 ％ compared to the same period. Of Guizhou Province add fast also be 12.5 ％ , stand side by side with Tianjin the first. Other amplitude compares tall province to be centered in ministry of Chinese and Western mostly.

The economy of area of the eastpart part moves relatively smooth, amplitude is in mostly 8 ％ —9 ％ . Economy saved Shandong, Jiangsu to come true to grow 9.6 ％ compared to the same period greatly. Two city of Beijing, Shanghai are at present two only are added fast the province under 8 ％ , came true to grow 7.7 ％ compared to the same period.

watch caseRank the GDP data of before 21 province, add up to twenty-five thousand two hundred and eighty-two billion three hundred and sixty-eight million yuan, the whole nation that has exceeded national statistic bureau to announce twenty-four thousand eight hundred billion nine hundred and twenty million yuan GDP gross. And addition of will current 30 province GDP,

Some closer year, to pursue achievements in one's official career, data of economy of local government make a false report, intervene statistic is investigated, even data " affusion " wait for a phenomenon to happen from time to tome. Head of department of severaharrison hot spring deall manage finance economy of manage of Wuhan university number and Professor Zou Wei expresses, have except data " mix into water " outside suspicion, place and central data difference also are concerned with statistical means. For example, a kind of product may step area flow in the whole nation, the end item ofthe best selling modern dining chairs one province makes the semifinished product of another province, existing to repeat calculation.

The phenomenonmodern dining chairs is unscrambled

Short-term inside need not " big stimulation "

Galactic negotiable securities is presiding president adviser Zun Xiaolei thinks, future a few months, economy grows the ifree modern dining chairsmpetus that put delay to continue probably even. Although at present the State Council continues clearly to increase economic structure reform, the tolerance that puts delay to economic growth is spent rise somewhat, but do not mean indulge economy to grow abysmal line to put delay, still must grow in stability and the balance is sought between structural reform.

Zou Wei thinks, current economy moves to did not appear big cases to fall greatly, still answer to put tone structure and hurried reform in significant position. Short-term inside, need not publish old exciting policy, should continue to implement firm monetary policy and vigorous finance policy, dish capital of free watch casethe vivid finance that put an amount, digest or di want modern dining chairsissolve superfluous yield can, stimulative foreign trade picks up.

Zou Wei says, to prevent economy apparent fall after a rise, current and OK from unlock civilian battalion capital to enter forestall industry, new-style town to change construction, shanty town to transform stage by stage, increase investment of the people's livelihood to reach raise dweller income to promote the respect such as consumption, publish more active and firm policy, release new economy to develop bonus. According to Xinhua News Agency

(Capital times)